RATIN

U.S. grains: Soybeans fall as good South America weather lift crop prospects

Posted on December, 5, 2024 at 07:11 am


U.S. soybean futures fell on Wednesday on favorable crop weather in South America and concerns about the incoming Trump administration’s hawkish approach to trade with top importer China.

Wheat futures fell to contract lows on dull demand for U.S. supplies before ending mixed on worries about poor crop conditions in top exporter Russia. Corn futures eased.

Declines in soybeans anchored grains in general as planting in Brazil was nearly complete and several private forecasters have raised their soy harvest outlooks for the world’s top supplier over the past week.

“People are paying more attention to South American weather and they’re finding out the situation is good so it’s getting tougher and tougher to rally the market,” said Jack Scoville, vice president at the Price Futures Group.

Global export demand is also shifting from U.S. to Brazilian soybeans, which have declined in price in recent days, according to traders.

Meanwhile, concerns about future Chinese demand for U.S. soy have weighed on the market, particularly new-crop contracts, amid rising trade tensions.

Chicago Board of Trade January soybeans SF25 were down 8 cents at $9.83-3/4 a bushel, while September 2025 through November 2026 futures struck fresh contract lows.

March corn futures CH25 were 2-1/4 cents lower at $4.30 a bushel.

CBOT March wheat WH25 was up 3/4 cent at $5.48-1/4 a bushel after falling to a contract low of $5.40-1/4. All other contracts apart from spot December also posted new lows.

Wheat recovered from earlier lows on worries about crops in key global production areas.

Heavy rainfall hit Australia’s bumper wheat harvest, causing widespread quality downgrades, analysts and traders said.

In top exporter Russia, the share of winter crops in poor condition or have not sprouted is at an unprecedented level of over 37 per cent, analysts from ProZerno center said, citing state weather data.

Source: Manitoba